Candidate Entry Into Local Government
- Local governments often struggle to attract capable, popular leaders. Is that because good candidates don't exist, or because parties won't pick them? We tested this ahead of Sierra Leone's 2023 local elections.
- Combining community nominations with basic vetting surfaced people who were clearly more qualified and more popular than the usual candidates. A quarter of them went on to actually run for office.
- The bottleneck isn't a shortage of good candidates. Party leaders keep re-running their own incumbents instead of picking them. Real renewal means changing who parties choose, not just who's available.
The competence of public officials affects state performance and economic growth, yet building this capacity is difficult: it requires protocols to identify more capable, representative individuals; their willingness to run for office; and party interest in supporting their candidacies. We evaluate an experiment designed to parse these problems of identification, entry and gatekeeping in advance of the 2023 local elections in Sierra Leone. A combination of community nominations and technocratic screening identifies individuals who are substantially higher quality and enjoy broader popular support than both incumbents and status quo aspirants. One quarter of top nominees formally enter politics, positively self-selected on quality, and their entry improves the maximum quality observed in candidate applicant pools. Party gatekeepers, however, are not more likely to select these capable, popular nominees and instead favor their own re-running incumbents. Results suggest that the challenge for political renewal is less about supply than demand in this context: there are indeed better potential candidates out there who are willing to run, but institutional party incentives work against selecting them.